There is among the host of reasons Barack Obama, the insurgent candidate, is putting the hurt on Hillary Clinton the shift in generational tide. I think it is a pretty clear phenomenon, and is easily measured by the demographic stats. For example, after tonight's Potomac primaries CBS reports the following numbers:
Young people were extra motivated to vote this year, presumably by Obama. In 2004 17 - 29 year-olds made up only 8 percent of both Maryland's and Virginia's Democratic primary electorates. Today, however, they made up 14 percent of each state's electorate. Among these young voters Obama won handily. He beat Clinton by 50 points among Virginia's young voters, and by 39 points in Maryland.
I have also seen reports that document a considerable majority favoring Obama going all the way into the mid-30s age group. I would even guess that he holds an advantage well into the 40s. From what I can tell the generational division falls between the Baby Boomers and Generation X. Clinton is a baby boomer. Obama, by age and experience, falls very nearly on the leading edge of gen X. And for once, gen X has the upper hand, because finally what we have in Obama is a vehicle through which we can repudiate not simply boomer values (as evidenced in their similar policy positions), but rather more importantly, boomer dysfunction.
We can boil it down to this: the struggles of the boomer generation were fought over the challenges presented by the question 'What Is Right?' The question will always have metaphysical merit, but in a country allowing its racial minorities to suffer the bald-faced injustices of segregation and, at the same time, making war on a small, poor, faraway nation like Vietnam, the question took on political urgency. Having failed as a generation to settle the question, for the decades afterward 'What Is Right?' remained the defining metaphysical question underlying the national political debates and ideologies.
Perhaps until now. Voters ready to move on from the dramas of the baby boomers see Barack Obama inhabiting a different question: 'Who Are We?'
Like the earlier one, it is a metaphysical staple. But because those gen X and younger grew up into a reality of transience, multi-lingualism, economic precarity, media image saturation, immigration, electronic communication, multiculturalism, diaspora, and globalization, it gains in political urgency along a generational line. The question of unity must be raised and successfully negotiated as a first step towards actually dealing with the truly impressive portfolio of problems awaiting whoever is the next U.S. president. Creating unity begins with asking the question 'Who Are We?'